The series results in India-Australia Tests over the last decade and a half do tip the scales in India’s favour, but the two teams have been much closer to each other than the results suggest. Since 2007, over 39 Tests, India average 34.04 per wicket against Australia and concede 33.78. That’s a difference of about five runs per Test on average. Each of the ten Test series over this period has had the teams alternate as winners or a difference in averages of under ten runs per wicket. The only longer streak of this kind was the Ashes leading up to 1903-04.In terms of a pure cricketing contest, only South Africa vs Australia starting from late 2008 to now comes close to the Border-Gavaskar Trophy. South Africa lead 11-10, and the difference in averages is just 0.11. It is arguably a closer contest but not as diverse in terms of attacks. Australia and India compete across a wider set of conditions. South Africa registered a lot of their success when Australia hadn’t yet assembled an attack to rival their all-time best attacks. Since the mid-2010s, it can be argued India and Australia have been fielding teams that are among those countries’ best ever.

Over the last eight years or so, only India have challenged Australia in Australia, and only Australia challenged India in India until New Zealand finally put one past the dominant hosts in 2024. Plus, there was the drama, the politics, the pettiness, the gamesmanship and the moolah to go with it. Not to mention the three knockout matches between these sides in the last four ODI World Cups. The 23-25 head-to-head record in bilateral ODIs since 2007. And 7-8 in tournament play.The Border-Gavaskar Trophy doesn’t have the rich history and tradition or the post-colonial angst that many teams feel when playing England, but in a brief period of a decade and a half it has created a solid bank of memorable matches, performances and controversies. Together these two teams got over the tragic death of Phillip Hughes, agreeing to changes in the schedule, cautiously trying bouncers before eventually and inevitably letting their competitive natures take over. They have mocked each other’s injuries, made accusations of cheating and pitch-doctoring, tried to injure tailenders with bouncers, and have gone from friendship to hatred to begrudging respect for each other.One look at the celebration and anticipation of the contest in Australia, Kohli in particular, and you know this is no longer the one-sided love affair of the ’90s, when we were smitten even when India were not playing. Now Australia are much more invested in this than India. Not just because of the money but because this is contest in Test cricket.And yet so brittle are sporting empires that India go into the latest edition of the Border-Gavaskar Trophy with people silently fearing the worst. They are a team in transition who have just ended their 12-year home domination with a stunning whitewash to New Zealand. There are no niceties these days, what with result pitches and relentless attacks making blowouts more probable. You can’t rule out one in Australia.This could also be the last time some legends in these two sides face each other in Tests. If somehow, just for the road, India can go into the last Test with the series still alive – as has been the case in all of the last four series between these sides – these two teams will have serious claims to have taken part in the greatest rivalry in cricket.

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